The best method for
the identification of high-risk patients with rapidly progressive autosomal
dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) is based on height and age-adjusted
total kidney volume (TKV). We sought to improve this assessment by exploring
individual renal cyst growth rates over time. MRI data revealed that ADPKD cysts
grow, remain stable or disappear. The individual cyst volume distribution over
the first year (e.g., skewness or kurtosis) correlated strongly with TKV change
over 3 years (better than TKV change over the first year). It remains to be
determined whether these indices outperform TKV in the prediction of renal
function outcomes.
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